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Season

ATL

NFC South · 2nd

Atlanta Falcons

Record: 3-4
Point diff: −2
Net EPA/play: −0.02
Playoff odds: 40%

Team profile

League ranks out of 32 · marker further right is better

Offense EPA/play22nd · −0.04

Defense EPA/play13th · −0.02 allowed

Pass offense28th · −0.07

Rush offense6th · 0.00

Success rate14th · 44.4%

Point differential19th · −2

Team leaders

2026 regular season

Michael Penix Jr.

9 TD · 1 INT · +0.14 EPA/P

131 car · 4 TD · +0.03 EPA/C

38 rec · 1 TD · +0.61 EPA/T

Za'Darius Smith

5 QB hits · 6 TFL

Depth chart

Updated Oct 29 · Sleeper and nflverse

Pos	Starter	2nd	3rd	4th
LWR	Drake London	Chris Blair
RWR	Jahan Dotson	Beaux CollinsO
LT	Jake Matthews	Cameron WilliamsO	Michael JerrellO
LG	Matthew Bergeron	Kyle Hinton
C	Ryan Neuzil	Corey Levin
RG	Chris Lindstrom
RT	Jawaan Taylor	Ethan Onianwa	Michael JerrellO	Storm Norton
SWR	Olamide ZaccheausQ	Zachariah Branch
QB	Michael Penix Jr.	Andy Dalton	Tua Tagovailoa	Jack Strand
TE	Kyle Pitts Sr.	Austin Hooper	Nick Muse	Charlie Woerner
RB	Bijan Robinson	Brian Robinson Jr.O	Trey SermonIR

Q questionable · D doubtful · O out · IR injured reserve · PUP physically unable to perform. Offensive line from nflverse.

Injury report

Week 7 game designations

OutBeaux CollinsWRHip
OutBilly Bowman Jr.CBHamstring
OutBrian RobinsonRBHamstring
OutCameron WilliamsTAnkle
OutDivine DeabloLBForearm
OutMichael JerrellTBiceps
QuestionableA.J. TerrellCBGroin
QuestionableAvieon TerrellCBBack
QuestionableC.J. HendersonCBGroin
QuestionableGervon Dexter Sr.DTHamstring
QuestionableKendal DanielsLBNeck
QuestionableOlamide ZaccheausWRShoulder
QuestionableSamson EbukamDEHamstring
QuestionableZa'Darius SmithDENeck

2026 results

Week / opponent / result
Wk1@ Pittsburgh SteelersL13–20	−0.36	−0.25	−0.11	−0.61 Rush
Wk2vs Carolina PanthersL3–34	−0.49	+0.04	−0.52	−0.76 Rush
Wk3@ Green Bay PackersW35–14	+0.32	+0.03	+0.29	+0.34 Penix Jr.
Wk4@ New Orleans SaintsW45–24	+0.47	−0.03	+0.50	+0.51 Penix Jr.
Wk5vs Baltimore RavensL23–30	−0.02	+0.04	−0.06	+0.16 Penix Jr.
Wk6vs Chicago BearsL23–31	−0.27	+0.01	−0.28	−0.32 Penix Jr.
Wk7vs San Francisco 49ersW29–20	+0.11	+0.01	+0.09	+0.26 Penix Jr.

Next 3 games

Model details →

Week 8

@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Model win probability43%

Projected 23–25

Week 9

vs Cincinnati Bengals

Model win probability37%

Projected 24–27

Week 10

vs Kansas City Chiefs

Model win probability45%

Projected 23–25

Season simulation: 40% to make the playoffs, 38% to win the division, 0% for the No. 1 seed · projected 7.9–9.1.